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The Robot Economy: Ready or Not, Here It Comes
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From: "Mahmood Elahi"http://www.sott.net/
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The Robot Economy: Ready or Not, Here It Comes
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Subject: Trump's protectionism will also hurt U.S.
To: The Editor The Globe and Mail
With China, Canada, Mexico its biggest partners, Trump�s protectionism will also hurt U.S.
Re: �Defying gravity�s pull,� by Frances Woolley, May 2.
With $578 billion in two-way trade, China is America�s biggest trading partner, closely followed by Canada with $544 billion and Mexico with $524 billion. However, with U.S. exporting only $166 billion worth of goods to China while importing $426 billion worth of goods, it has raked up a massive $347 billion trade deficit with China. With U.S. exporting $266 billion worth of goods to Canada while importing $278 billion, its trade deficits with Canada are a modest $11 billion. With U.S. exporting $230 billion worth of goods to Mexico while importing goods worth of $294 billion, it runs a larger trade deficit of $63 billion with that country.
As such, it is easy to understand why U.S. President Donald Trump railed against China during the campaign as a currency manipulator and stealer of American jobs. Although many labour-intensive jobs have moved to labour-rich China with a billion-plus population, it is also the biggest customer of U.S.-made Boeing jetliners and automobiles. In 2016, GM sold more cars in China than it sold in the U.S. China also holds biggest numbers of U.S. Treasury Bills. This explains why Trump no longer talks about China as a currency manipulator and he has not moved to impose a 34 per cent duty on Chinese goods as he pledged during the campaign.
Importing $266 billion worth of U.S. goods , Canada remains the biggest customer of U.S. products in the world. With Mexico importing $230 billion worth of goods, it is the second biggest customer of Made-in-America products. A trade war with these countries will also hurt America.
When Trump threatened to impose a border tax on Mexican products to pay for the wall across U.S.-Mexico borders, Nobel-Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman, in column titled: �The Wall of Ignorance� in the New York Times, wrote on Jan. 30: �As economists quickly pointed out, however, tariffs aren�t paid by the exporter. With some minor qualifications, basically they�re paid for by the buyer � that is a tariff on Mexican goods would be a tax on U.S. consumers. America, not Mexico, would therefore end up paying for the wall.� In a trade war involving U.S., China, Canada and Mexico, there will be no winners.
MAHMOOD ELAHI
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